Investing advice 2022
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Delta dashed the dream in Mother Nature, not humans, gets to write the end of this story. While there are still mask mandates and airline travel remains below pre-pandemic levels, many Americans have already returned to a relatively normal life, so even if luck turns and the pandemic finally peters out sometime in , there might not be much more room for the economy—or the stock market—to run. The only question investors should be asking themselves is how many Fed interest rate hikes will happen in QE and rock-bottom rate have helped to prop up stocks since early Tired of Hearing about Inflation?
Higher interest rates and higher inflation are a recipe for a Wall Street retreat. It might, however, signal opportunities in the bond market or even provide some good news for savers in the form of higher APYs. Supply Chain Solutions Check out any U. This is just one tipoff that the supply chain challenge no longer looks like a short-term issue. There might be some good to come from supply chain issues over the long term. Americans are for the first time in a long time questioning the wisdom and national security implications of buying and making nearly all our products overseas.
Even if the pandemic mercifully ends, there will be no full-term recovery until supply chains smooth out and keep store shelves full. In the first half of , the U. That was an early indication that the re-opening dividend might have come and gone. A fourth-quarter recovery is expected, but imagine if settles in with low levels of GDP growth right as the Fed gets really scared about inflation.
This could be a perilous combination for stockholders. By November, U. The numbers present an incomplete picture of the real labor market, however. The U. So why is unemployment so low? Much of the gap can be chalked up to women forced out of the labor market while trying to navigate child care, plus their overrepresentation in industries hit hardest during the pandemic. The ferocious competition for workers has hurt companies with higher labor costs and staffing challenges.
These issues need to be worked out before the labor market can return to normal—and until then, it will remain another drag on many public companies. If you want a real sign that the stock market could be in for a slowdown in , look to the FAANG stocks. Last year, we predicted a rotation out of FAANG, because the tech giants had run so far so fast during We turned out to be only partially correct.
Everybody was ready for a booming economic recovery and a summer of love in , all made possible by Covid vaccines. Some were even saying the end of the pandemic was in sight. Then the Delta and Omicron variants arrived. As draws to a close, the pandemic continues unabated, generating one mixed signal after another and greatly complicating the global economic recovery.
In the stock market , however, the party lasted all year long. Not yet, anyway. But observers are wondering how much longer the bull market can last—barely interrupted as it was by the shortest bear market ever in early There are signs that last call could be around the corner—tempered by other indications that investors still have money to make in Here are the top nine investing trends to watch out for in the new year. Delta dashed the dream in Mother Nature, not humans, gets to write the end of this story.
While there are still mask mandates and airline travel remains below pre-pandemic levels, many Americans have already returned to a relatively normal life, so even if luck turns and the pandemic finally peters out sometime in , there might not be much more room for the economy—or the stock market—to run. The only question investors should be asking themselves is how many Fed interest rate hikes will happen in QE and rock-bottom rate have helped to prop up stocks since early Tired of Hearing about Inflation?
Higher interest rates and higher inflation are a recipe for a Wall Street retreat. It might, however, signal opportunities in the bond market or even provide some good news for savers in the form of higher APYs. Supply Chain Solutions Check out any U. This is just one tipoff that the supply chain challenge no longer looks like a short-term issue.
There might be some good to come from supply chain issues over the long term. Americans are for the first time in a long time questioning the wisdom and national security implications of buying and making nearly all our products overseas. Even if the pandemic mercifully ends, there will be no full-term recovery until supply chains smooth out and keep store shelves full. In the first half of , the U. That was an early indication that the re-opening dividend might have come and gone.
A fourth-quarter recovery is expected, but imagine if settles in with low levels of GDP growth right as the Fed gets really scared about inflation. This could be a perilous combination for stockholders. By November, U.
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It might, however, signal opportunities in the bond market or even provide some good news for savers in the form of higher APYs. Supply Chain Solutions Check out any U. This is just one tipoff that the supply chain challenge no longer looks like a short-term issue. There might be some good to come from supply chain issues over the long term.
Americans are for the first time in a long time questioning the wisdom and national security implications of buying and making nearly all our products overseas. Even if the pandemic mercifully ends, there will be no full-term recovery until supply chains smooth out and keep store shelves full. In the first half of , the U.
That was an early indication that the re-opening dividend might have come and gone. A fourth-quarter recovery is expected, but imagine if settles in with low levels of GDP growth right as the Fed gets really scared about inflation. This could be a perilous combination for stockholders. By November, U. The numbers present an incomplete picture of the real labor market, however.
The U. So why is unemployment so low? Much of the gap can be chalked up to women forced out of the labor market while trying to navigate child care, plus their overrepresentation in industries hit hardest during the pandemic. The ferocious competition for workers has hurt companies with higher labor costs and staffing challenges. These issues need to be worked out before the labor market can return to normal—and until then, it will remain another drag on many public companies.
If you want a real sign that the stock market could be in for a slowdown in , look to the FAANG stocks. Last year, we predicted a rotation out of FAANG, because the tech giants had run so far so fast during We turned out to be only partially correct. Microsoft and Google gained even more in our bad , while more modest gains at Facebook and Amazon actually underperformed the wider market. Could we suggest boring consumer staples with dividend-enhanced returns as a place to find comfort while inflation creates uncertainty?
Where Are the Chips? The ongoing computer chip shortage will continue to impact stocks—and not just tech stocks. Practically all consumer durable goods have a computer chip in them now, so the shortage is a bigger problem than laptops. Detroit parking lots are overflowing with almost-completed cars right now, just waiting for scarce computer chips that still need to be installed. Blame a terrible fire at a Chinese plant in late that complicated pandemic problems.
In the first half of , the U. That was an early indication that the re-opening dividend might have come and gone. A fourth-quarter recovery is expected, but imagine if settles in with low levels of GDP growth right as the Fed gets really scared about inflation. This could be a perilous combination for stockholders. By November, U. The numbers present an incomplete picture of the real labor market, however.
The U. So why is unemployment so low? Much of the gap can be chalked up to women forced out of the labor market while trying to navigate child care, plus their overrepresentation in industries hit hardest during the pandemic. The ferocious competition for workers has hurt companies with higher labor costs and staffing challenges. These issues need to be worked out before the labor market can return to normal—and until then, it will remain another drag on many public companies.
If you want a real sign that the stock market could be in for a slowdown in , look to the FAANG stocks. Last year, we predicted a rotation out of FAANG, because the tech giants had run so far so fast during We turned out to be only partially correct.
Microsoft and Google gained even more in our bad , while more modest gains at Facebook and Amazon actually underperformed the wider market. Could we suggest boring consumer staples with dividend-enhanced returns as a place to find comfort while inflation creates uncertainty?
Where Are the Chips? The ongoing computer chip shortage will continue to impact stocks—and not just tech stocks. Practically all consumer durable goods have a computer chip in them now, so the shortage is a bigger problem than laptops. Detroit parking lots are overflowing with almost-completed cars right now, just waiting for scarce computer chips that still need to be installed. Blame a terrible fire at a Chinese plant in late that complicated pandemic problems. Intel says the chip shortage will last into That might be a good reason to consider buying chipmaking stocks—but it also might be a better reason to fret over the stability of most other consumer discretionary names.
Midterm Elections Perhaps the biggest uncertainty of are the midterm Congressional elections. Still, the fight seems poised to be hyperpartisan, which might lead to unpredictable news, instability or even violence. The run-up to midterms often roil stocks, particularly when a power shift in Washington is anticipated.
An analysis by Green Bush Financial of stock returns in , , and —the last three times Congressional bodies switched parties—provides a clear warning.
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